For the last 7 years Milwaukee and Madison have been at the forefront of a trend in which people across the nation are driving less and choosing instead to ride bikes, take transit and walk. At this point we don’t know for sure if the trend will continue as it is likely caused by a mix of the recession and changing demographic preferences as the baby boomers age and preferences of Millennial drivers have a greater impact. A number of recently published comprehensive studies suggest and revenue from the gas tax drops, we might want to align our transportation policies more closely with our revenue stream, putting an end to ever-expanding highways and investing more in other modes according to changing national preferences.
According to Transportation in Transition, by U.S. Public Inerest Research Group (U.S. PIRG), the Milwaukee and Madison urbanized areas , saw the second and third largest drops in per-capita Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) in the nation: down 21 % and 18 % respectively. At the same time, the number of people reporting they bike to work increased 280 % in Milwaukee and 219 % in Madison. The data for the report came from the Federal Highway Administration’s Highway Statistics and the annual American Community Survey.
The full report is filled with lots of detailed analysis that shows this decline in driving is happening nationwide, which has not been a secret since the decline began in 2005. The report cites a number reasons for the decline in driving:
- Rising Use of Bicycling, and Transit: Americans are increasingly choosing other modes of transportation – light rail, buses, trains, bicycles or walking – for trips they might once have taken by car. The recent advent of new technologies – from carsharing to real-time transit information – as well as the preference of members of the Millennial generation for walkable places and a wider variety of transportation options – has accelerated the trend toward reduced driving.
- Rising Cost of Gasoline
- Fewer people working – The recession is one reason for the decline in driving, but other studies show the decline to be more closely linked to other factors than it is to the economy,
- Declining Vehicle Ownership – the number of vehicles per licensed driver has declined by 4 percent since 2006
While the decline in driving has been widely reported because it has reduced the amount of gas taxes collected, which has force states to shift general fund taxes into the transportation fund (Wisconsin transferred $133 million) and increase bonding, or borrowing to build and repair roads and highways (which Wisconsin also did in our current biennial budget).
Ironically, this transportation funding crisis is often cited as a reason to cut spending on bicycling and transit. That might not make any sense to you if you are one of the many people who is riding your bike more or taking transit more often. It defies logic that our elected leaders would cut funds to bicycling and walking if they are growing in popularity. It makes little fiscal sense to borrow money to continue to widening freeways that are getting less use when small investments in bicycling and transit have proven to have such a high return.
A common reason given by elected officials and transportation officials is that they believe the decline in driving is related to the recession and will rebound any day now. With such a long history of Americans driving more every year, and the decline coming after the recession, on face value that is a logical assumption, but this report looked very carefully and found no clear relationship at the state level between the health of the local economy and the size if its decline in driving.
So what happens if the report is right and people continue to drive less? Wisconsin is making huge investments in Mega Freeway Projects that will cost us billions to rebuild our freeways for increased capacity that may never come. Not only will that be a huge waste of precious tax dollars now, but those bigger, wider, taller freeways come with an even bigger maintenance cost for future generations. With no appetite for higher gas taxes or tolls, we seem to be putting our children on the road to ruin.
Whether people continue to drive less or we begin to drive more, our current transportation funding system is not sustainable. We cannot afford to even maintain what we have without raising more revenue. The U.S. Pirg report makes this fiscally conservative, logically sound recommendation:
“Local, state and federal officials need to revisit their current transportation plans and transportation investment priorities in light of the recent changes in driving pat-terns. By doing so, decision-makers will be able to save money that might otherwise be wasted on unnecessary boondoggle highway projects and instead invest in other important priorities such as repair-ing our existing roads and bridges and expanding access to the broader range of transportation options – including public transit, bicycling and walking – that Americans increasingly seek.”
If you want to hear more about the study and how it directly relates to Wisconsin’s transportation funding issues, come to the media conference tomorrow in Milwaukee. Details are below:
Study to Show Milwaukee, Madison Top National List of Cities Where People are Driving Less
Report on Driving, Public Transit, and Biking Trends Also Compares to Other Urbanized Areas Across the Nation
What: WISPIRG Foundation will release a first-of-its-kind report showing that on average, residents of Milwaukee are driving less, and how that compares to trends in each of America’s largest 100 urbanized areas. The report will show the latest government data on changes in automobile use, public transit travel and biking in Milwaukee and Madison. Data will show how these trends in Wisconsin cities compare to major cities in other states.
Who: Bob Bauman, Milwaukee Alderman
State Representative Evan Goyke
Bruce Speight, WISPIRG Director
When: Wednesday, December 11th, 10AM
Where: Milwaukee City Hall Rotunda
200 E. Wells St.
Milwaukee, WI 53202
Visuals: The event will include blown-up full-color maps and charts from the report.